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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.97+1.28vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University0.91+1.65vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University-1.10+4.32vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.37-3.06vs Predicted
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6George Washington University-0.12-0.69vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University0.29-2.33vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University0.29-3.33vs Predicted
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9George Washington University-0.12-3.69vs Predicted
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10American University-1.20-2.77vs Predicted
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11Catholic University of America-1.56-3.03vs Predicted
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12American University-1.49-4.04vs Predicted
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13Catholic University of America-2.14-3.99vs Predicted
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14American University-1.97-5.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28Georgetown University1.970.3%1st Place
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3.65Georgetown University0.910.1%1st Place
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7.32Georgetown University-1.100.0%1st Place
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1.94Georgetown University2.370.4%1st Place
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5.31George Washington University-0.120.0%1st Place
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4.67Georgetown University0.290.0%1st Place
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4.67Georgetown University0.290.0%1st Place
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5.31George Washington University-0.120.0%1st Place
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7.23American University-1.200.0%1st Place
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7.97Catholic University of America-1.560.0%1st Place
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7.96American University-1.490.0%1st Place
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9.01Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
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8.66American University-1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Smith | 30.2% | 32.2% | 23.0% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Shea | 11.5% | 13.2% | 23.6% | 23.3% | 14.6% | 8.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Clauson | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 16.2% | 16.2% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 43.3% | 31.1% | 17.1% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Wieting | 4.1% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 15.3% | 19.6% | 16.6% | 14.6% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adelia DeRose | 4.8% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 21.5% | 20.6% | 14.3% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adelia DeRose | 4.8% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 21.5% | 20.6% | 14.3% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Wieting | 4.1% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 15.3% | 19.6% | 16.6% | 14.6% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Cottage | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 6.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benedict Gorman | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 15.9% | 16.4% | 14.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 16.6% | 16.8% | 15.1% | 14.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 18.8% | 34.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Blair | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 23.7% | 22.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.