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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.97+1.30vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.37-0.12vs Predicted
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3George Washington University-0.12+2.42vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University0.29+0.74vs Predicted
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5American University-1.49+2.88vs Predicted
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7George Washington University-0.12-1.58vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University0.91-4.33vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University0.29-4.26vs Predicted
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10American University-1.20-2.78vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University-1.10-3.89vs Predicted
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12Catholic University of America-1.56-3.89vs Predicted
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13Catholic University of America-2.14-3.98vs Predicted
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14American University-1.97-5.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3Georgetown University1.970.3%1st Place
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1.88Georgetown University2.370.5%1st Place
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5.42George Washington University-0.120.0%1st Place
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4.74Georgetown University0.290.0%1st Place
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7.88American University-1.490.0%1st Place
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5.42George Washington University-0.120.0%1st Place
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3.67Georgetown University0.910.1%1st Place
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4.74Georgetown University0.290.0%1st Place
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7.22American University-1.200.0%1st Place
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7.11Georgetown University-1.100.0%1st Place
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8.11Catholic University of America-1.560.0%1st Place
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9.02Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
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8.66American University-1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Smith | 29.0% | 32.9% | 23.4% | 10.1% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 45.3% | 31.2% | 16.2% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Wieting | 3.8% | 5.0% | 9.5% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 19.2% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adelia DeRose | 4.5% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 22.1% | 21.2% | 14.8% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 17.1% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Wieting | 3.8% | 5.0% | 9.5% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 19.2% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Shea | 10.1% | 15.4% | 24.0% | 22.0% | 14.5% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adelia DeRose | 4.5% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 22.1% | 21.2% | 14.8% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Cottage | 1.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 11.1% | 6.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Clauson | 2.5% | 1.1% | 3.4% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 15.1% | 15.9% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 5.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benedict Gorman | 1.2% | 0.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 16.8% | 17.3% | 15.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 20.3% | 33.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Blair | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 21.0% | 23.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.