← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University1.69+7.51vs Predicted
-
2George Washington University1.39+7.87vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.99+4.52vs Predicted
-
4University of Pennsylvania2.47+1.72vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University2.01+2.28vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57+3.38vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University1.93+0.75vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.95-0.44vs Predicted
-
9Florida State University0.97+2.82vs Predicted
-
10Webb Institute1.54-0.83vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont1.32-0.62vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University1.79-3.70vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-3.77vs Predicted
-
14Cornell University1.81-5.60vs Predicted
-
16Connecticut College1.59-6.89vs Predicted
-
17SUNY Maritime College1.10-5.85vs Predicted
-
18Connecticut College0.92-6.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.51Boston University1.690.1%1st Place
-
9.87George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
-
7.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.990.1%1st Place
-
5.72University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
-
7.28Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
-
9.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.1%1st Place
-
7.75Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
-
7.56St. Mary's College of Maryland1.950.1%1st Place
-
11.82Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
-
9.17Webb Institute1.540.0%1st Place
-
10.38University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
-
8.3Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
-
9.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.1%1st Place
-
8.4Cornell University1.810.1%1st Place
-
9.11Connecticut College1.590.1%1st Place
-
11.15SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
-
11.86Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Robitshek | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 2.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 13.2% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Thress | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Lars Osell | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% |
| Clark Morris | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Jonathan Weed | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Katie Nelson | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 17.3% |
| Everett Botwinick | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.8% |
| Everett Nash | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
| Peter McGonagle | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% |
| Skylor Sweet | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.8% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 12.9% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.5% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 19.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.