← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57+7.98vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania2.47+3.57vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.93+4.75vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College1.59+5.21vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University1.81+3.06vs Predicted
-
6Boston University1.69+2.90vs Predicted
-
7Webb Institute1.54+2.34vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.95-0.45vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University1.39+1.15vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.99-2.60vs Predicted
-
11Fordham University2.01-3.43vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-2.86vs Predicted
-
14Florida State University0.97-2.21vs Predicted
-
15SUNY Maritime College1.10-3.75vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont1.32-5.82vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University1.79-8.66vs Predicted
-
18Connecticut College0.92-6.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.1%1st Place
-
5.57University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
-
7.75Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
-
9.21Connecticut College1.590.1%1st Place
-
8.06Cornell University1.810.1%1st Place
-
8.9Boston University1.690.1%1st Place
-
9.34Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
-
7.55St. Mary's College of Maryland1.950.1%1st Place
-
10.15George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
-
7.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.990.1%1st Place
-
7.57Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
-
9.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.1%1st Place
-
11.79Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
-
11.25SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
-
10.18University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
-
8.34Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
-
11.84Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lars Osell | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 13.0% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Clark Morris | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Skylor Sweet | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
| Noah Robitshek | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.3% |
| Everett Botwinick | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% |
| Jonathan Weed | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Lucas Thress | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| Peter McGonagle | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% |
| Katie Nelson | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 17.7% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 14.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.4% |
| Everett Nash | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.