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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.47+4.51vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.99+5.39vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.93+4.71vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57+5.29vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.69+3.51vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.81+2.42vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.54+2.33vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.01-0.68vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.32+1.44vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.59-1.06vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.95-3.15vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-2.92vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.79-4.58vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.39-3.87vs Predicted
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15Florida State University0.97-3.40vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College1.10-4.78vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.92-5.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.51University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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7.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.990.1%1st Place
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7.71Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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9.29U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.1%1st Place
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8.51Boston University1.690.1%1st Place
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8.42Cornell University1.810.1%1st Place
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9.33Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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7.32Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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10.44University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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8.94Connecticut College1.590.1%1st Place
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7.85St. Mary's College of Maryland1.950.1%1st Place
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9.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.0%1st Place
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8.42Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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10.13George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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11.6Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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11.22SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
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11.83Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson McAliley | 14.0% | 13.7% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% |
| Clark Morris | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% |
| Lars Osell | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% |
| Everett Botwinick | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% |
| Lucas Thress | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% |
| Skylor Sweet | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% |
| Jonathan Weed | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Peter McGonagle | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% |
| Everett Nash | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 17.2% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 13.9% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.