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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+5.07vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.18+2.97vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.76+7.58vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.53+2.81vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.97+0.59vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.82+0.03vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+0.07vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.74-4.34vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.74-2.98vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.93-4.35vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.30-3.47vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.09-3.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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4.97Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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10.58University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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6.81Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
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5.59Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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6.03Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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3.66Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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6.02Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.65University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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7.53Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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8.03Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Lepert | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 1.8% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 12.1% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Paige Fagan | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 11.4% | 62.4% |
| Caitlin Watson | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 5.0% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Sky Adams | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| Devon Rohde | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 6.2% |
| Marlena Fauer | 23.1% | 18.6% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Kate Levinson | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 6.6% |
| Rachel Perry | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 19.9% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.