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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan-0.65+2.64vs Predicted
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2Marquette University0.32+0.36vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.36-0.64vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.54-0.75vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.56-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64University of Michigan-0.6510.4%1st Place
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2.36Marquette University0.3231.5%1st Place
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2.36University of Wisconsin0.3631.2%1st Place
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3.25Northwestern University-0.5414.4%1st Place
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3.4Purdue University-0.5612.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nina Gonzalez | 10.4% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 23.9% | 36.5% |
| Brittany Shabino | 31.5% | 26.7% | 21.8% | 14.6% | 5.3% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 31.2% | 27.4% | 21.4% | 14.5% | 5.5% |
| Anna Kovacs | 14.4% | 16.8% | 20.8% | 25.7% | 22.4% |
| Camille Imbler | 12.4% | 16.8% | 19.3% | 21.2% | 30.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.