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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.99+6.31vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.47+3.56vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57+6.22vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.93+3.76vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.59+3.94vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.79+2.52vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.95+0.73vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.69+0.54vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College1.10+2.32vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.320.00vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.01-3.39vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.39-2.08vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute1.54-3.50vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.81-5.61vs Predicted
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16Florida State University0.97-4.41vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.92-5.09vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-8.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.990.1%1st Place
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5.56University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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9.22U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.1%1st Place
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7.76Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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8.94Connecticut College1.590.1%1st Place
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8.52Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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7.73St. Mary's College of Maryland1.950.1%1st Place
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8.54Boston University1.690.1%1st Place
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11.32SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
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10.0University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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7.61Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.92George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.5Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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8.39Cornell University1.810.1%1st Place
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11.59Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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11.91Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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9.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Sessions | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Jackson McAliley | 13.4% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Lars Osell | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% |
| Clark Morris | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Skylor Sweet | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% |
| Everett Nash | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% |
| Jonathan Weed | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Noah Robitshek | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 13.8% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% |
| Lucas Thress | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% |
| Everett Botwinick | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Katie Nelson | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 16.7% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.6% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 19.3% |
| Peter McGonagle | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.