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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.47+4.49vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57+7.18vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.99+4.49vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.95+3.76vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.79+3.08vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.93+1.90vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.54+2.37vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College1.10+2.85vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.81-0.54vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.39-0.16vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.32-0.59vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.59-2.89vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.69-4.17vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-4.69vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.92-3.21vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.01-8.56vs Predicted
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18Florida State University0.97-6.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.49University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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9.18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.1%1st Place
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7.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.990.1%1st Place
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7.76St. Mary's College of Maryland1.950.1%1st Place
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8.08Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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7.9Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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9.37Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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10.85SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
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8.46Cornell University1.810.1%1st Place
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9.84George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.41University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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9.11Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
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8.83Boston University1.690.1%1st Place
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9.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.1%1st Place
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11.79Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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7.44Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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11.69Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson McAliley | 14.7% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lars Osell | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Jonathan Weed | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% |
| Everett Nash | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% |
| Clark Morris | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Everett Botwinick | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 13.6% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 9.3% |
| Skylor Sweet | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% |
| Noah Robitshek | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% |
| Peter McGonagle | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 13.5% | 19.3% |
| Lucas Thress | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Katie Nelson | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.