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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.69+7.48vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.50+7.34vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.10+8.01vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.39+5.99vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.47+0.54vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57+3.37vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.99+0.45vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.93-0.43vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.81-0.57vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-1.01vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.79-2.59vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.54-2.66vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.32-2.62vs Predicted
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14Florida State University0.97-2.27vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.95-7.36vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.92-4.19vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.01-10.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.48Boston University1.690.1%1st Place
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9.34Connecticut College1.500.1%1st Place
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11.01SUNY Maritime College1.100.0%1st Place
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9.99George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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5.54University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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9.37U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.0%1st Place
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7.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.990.1%1st Place
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7.57Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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8.43Cornell University1.810.0%1st Place
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8.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.0%1st Place
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8.41Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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9.34Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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10.38University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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11.73Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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7.64St. Mary's College of Maryland1.950.1%1st Place
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11.81Connecticut College0.920.0%1st Place
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7.53Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Robitshek | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Henry Scholz | 5.3% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 13.1% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% |
| Jackson McAliley | 14.4% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Lars Osell | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Clark Morris | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Lauren Ehnot | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% |
| Peter McGonagle | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% |
| Everett Nash | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% |
| Everett Botwinick | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 10.1% |
| Katie Nelson | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 16.4% |
| Jonathan Weed | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 18.6% |
| Lucas Thress | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.