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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.74+2.72vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.97+3.56vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.09+5.00vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.30+3.44vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.53+1.79vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.00vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.74-0.90vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.82-2.10vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.18-5.21vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.93-5.35vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-4.66vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.76-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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5.56Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.0Roger Williams University2.090.1%1st Place
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7.44Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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6.79Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
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6.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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6.1Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.9Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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4.79Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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5.65University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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7.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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10.69University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlena Fauer | 20.8% | 16.9% | 17.1% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Rachel Perry | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 21.1% | 9.8% |
| Kate Levinson | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 7.3% |
| Caitlin Watson | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 5.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 1.6% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 2.6% |
| Sky Adams | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 12.2% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 6.4% |
| Paige Fagan | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 13.7% | 62.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.