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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Saint Thomas0.47+0.43vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago-1.18+0.76vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota-1.08-0.33vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-3.30+0.98vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-2.47-0.75vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-3.17-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.43University of Saint Thomas0.470.7%1st Place
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2.76University of Chicago-1.180.1%1st Place
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2.67University of Minnesota-1.080.1%1st Place
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4.98Marquette University-3.300.0%1st Place
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4.25Northwestern University-2.470.0%1st Place
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4.92Marquette University-3.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Bittle | 67.6% | 23.6% | 7.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Holden Higgins | 13.9% | 29.4% | 32.3% | 16.9% | 6.6% | 0.9% |
| Hayden Johansen | 14.3% | 31.1% | 33.1% | 17.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Stella Brown | 0.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 16.1% | 30.4% | 42.4% |
| Sean Bascoe | 2.3% | 8.5% | 13.3% | 30.7% | 28.1% | 17.1% |
| Gwen Busch | 1.1% | 3.1% | 7.8% | 17.7% | 31.7% | 38.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.