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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota-1.08+1.68vs Predicted
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2University of Saint Thomas0.47-0.55vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago-1.18-0.27vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-3.17+0.85vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-2.47-0.74vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-3.30-0.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68University of Minnesota-1.080.1%1st Place
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1.45University of Saint Thomas0.470.7%1st Place
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2.73University of Chicago-1.180.1%1st Place
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4.85Marquette University-3.170.0%1st Place
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4.26Northwestern University-2.470.0%1st Place
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5.04Marquette University-3.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Johansen | 14.4% | 31.2% | 34.4% | 13.6% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| Greg Bittle | 66.9% | 22.5% | 9.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Holden Higgins | 14.2% | 28.9% | 32.3% | 19.6% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Gwen Busch | 1.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 18.4% | 33.0% | 36.1% |
| Sean Bascoe | 2.2% | 8.5% | 13.5% | 30.2% | 28.2% | 17.4% |
| Stella Brown | 1.2% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 17.0% | 29.7% | 44.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.