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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota-1.08+1.71vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago-1.18+0.78vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-3.17+1.87vs Predicted
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4University of Saint Thomas0.47-2.59vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-2.47-0.78vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-3.30-0.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71University of Minnesota-1.080.1%1st Place
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2.78University of Chicago-1.180.1%1st Place
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4.87Marquette University-3.170.0%1st Place
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1.41University of Saint Thomas0.470.7%1st Place
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4.22Northwestern University-2.470.0%1st Place
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5.02Marquette University-3.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Johansen | 13.8% | 30.5% | 33.9% | 16.0% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Holden Higgins | 12.6% | 30.3% | 31.5% | 18.4% | 6.5% | 0.7% |
| Gwen Busch | 1.7% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 16.5% | 32.4% | 37.7% |
| Greg Bittle | 68.0% | 24.4% | 6.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Bascoe | 3.0% | 7.4% | 14.6% | 30.7% | 28.1% | 16.2% |
| Stella Brown | 0.9% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 17.7% | 28.3% | 44.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.