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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Marlena Fauer 20.0% 18.9% 16.3% 12.0% 10.5% 7.9% 4.6% 4.6% 3.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.2%
Carolyn Naughton 9.2% 10.6% 11.2% 10.4% 10.7% 9.6% 9.8% 9.0% 8.3% 6.6% 4.0% 0.6%
Elizabeth Glivinski 8.3% 7.1% 9.2% 7.5% 9.3% 8.8% 9.6% 10.2% 12.4% 8.1% 6.7% 2.8%
Sky Adams 7.8% 8.5% 9.6% 10.9% 8.8% 10.9% 9.8% 8.5% 7.5% 8.3% 7.3% 2.1%
Kelsey Wheeler 12.6% 12.1% 11.4% 11.1% 11.7% 9.9% 8.2% 7.9% 5.3% 5.8% 3.4% 0.6%
Caitlin Watson 6.2% 7.2% 7.5% 6.2% 6.6% 9.1% 12.1% 8.9% 8.4% 13.1% 10.7% 4.0%
Chloe Lepert 9.3% 10.1% 7.8% 10.0% 11.7% 8.0% 8.7% 10.7% 8.2% 7.0% 6.6% 1.9%
Kimberly Kaull 11.4% 10.1% 10.0% 9.0% 9.3% 11.0% 9.4% 8.4% 8.3% 6.0% 5.5% 1.6%
Devon Rohde 4.8% 5.0% 6.7% 7.9% 8.2% 9.7% 8.3% 11.0% 11.0% 10.5% 12.2% 4.7%
Paige Fagan 1.1% 0.9% 1.9% 2.4% 1.6% 1.9% 2.2% 2.6% 5.3% 6.3% 11.2% 62.6%
Kate Levinson 5.0% 5.2% 5.0% 6.5% 6.4% 6.9% 8.5% 9.5% 11.6% 13.5% 13.1% 8.8%
Rachel Perry 4.3% 4.3% 3.4% 6.1% 5.2% 6.3% 8.8% 8.7% 10.5% 13.3% 19.0% 10.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.