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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.74+2.73vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.97+3.49vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.74+3.28vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.82+1.99vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.18+0.04vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.53+0.84vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-1.15vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.93-2.43vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-1.94vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire0.76+0.59vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.30-3.46vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.09-5.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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5.49Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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6.28Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.99Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.04Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.84Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
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5.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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5.57University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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7.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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10.59University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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7.54Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.0Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlena Fauer | 20.0% | 18.9% | 16.3% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 9.2% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 2.8% |
| Sky Adams | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 2.1% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 12.6% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Caitlin Watson | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 4.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 9.3% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 1.9% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 11.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 4.7% |
| Paige Fagan | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 11.2% | 62.6% |
| Kate Levinson | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 8.8% |
| Rachel Perry | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 19.0% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.