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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.58+2.27vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.08+0.59vs Predicted
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3Williams College-0.60+2.39vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College0.170.00vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College0.43-1.48vs Predicted
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6Amherst College-0.09-1.57vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-1.37-0.36vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.68-0.92vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-3.65+0.31vs Predicted
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10Amherst College-3.05-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27University of Vermont0.580.2%1st Place
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2.59University of Vermont1.080.3%1st Place
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5.39Williams College-0.600.1%1st Place
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4.0Dartmouth College0.170.1%1st Place
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3.52Middlebury College0.430.2%1st Place
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4.43Amherst College-0.090.1%1st Place
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6.64Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
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7.08Middlebury College-1.680.0%1st Place
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9.31Middlebury College-3.650.0%1st Place
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8.77Amherst College-3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Amelotte | 19.9% | 21.8% | 17.0% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Potter | 31.7% | 23.7% | 18.7% | 13.1% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 20.9% | 20.7% | 11.5% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Rob Mailley | 11.2% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 18.3% | 17.1% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Walter Chiles | 16.1% | 17.3% | 18.7% | 18.6% | 14.1% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nat Edmonds | 10.1% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 17.9% | 16.4% | 11.4% | 4.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| William Procter | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 14.5% | 24.6% | 26.3% | 10.8% | 1.6% |
| Dalyan Yet | 1.8% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 10.8% | 17.3% | 33.1% | 17.3% | 3.8% |
| Aric Duncan | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 6.3% | 24.1% | 62.7% |
| Colin Sueyoshi | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 12.7% | 43.3% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.