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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.08+1.56vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College0.43+1.58vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.58+0.33vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College0.17-0.02vs Predicted
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5Amherst College-0.09-0.56vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-1.37+0.57vs Predicted
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7Williams College-0.60-1.63vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.68-0.94vs Predicted
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9Amherst College-3.05-0.22vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-3.65-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56University of Vermont1.080.3%1st Place
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3.58Middlebury College0.430.1%1st Place
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3.33University of Vermont0.580.2%1st Place
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3.98Dartmouth College0.170.1%1st Place
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4.44Amherst College-0.090.1%1st Place
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6.57Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
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5.37Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
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7.06Middlebury College-1.680.0%1st Place
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8.78Amherst College-3.050.0%1st Place
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9.32Middlebury College-3.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Potter | 33.8% | 23.2% | 18.4% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter Chiles | 15.0% | 19.3% | 17.1% | 16.8% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Amelotte | 18.5% | 19.1% | 19.4% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 9.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rob Mailley | 11.3% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 18.5% | 15.9% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nat Edmonds | 10.3% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 16.5% | 17.7% | 16.0% | 11.4% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| William Procter | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 13.2% | 22.1% | 26.4% | 12.4% | 1.9% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 20.1% | 19.0% | 11.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Dalyan Yet | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 20.4% | 32.3% | 16.2% | 3.7% |
| Colin Sueyoshi | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 6.2% | 13.4% | 42.2% | 32.1% |
| Aric Duncan | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 24.9% | 61.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.