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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.58+2.27vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College0.17+2.01vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.08-0.40vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College0.43-0.48vs Predicted
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5Amherst College-0.09-0.57vs Predicted
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6Williams College-0.60-0.68vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-1.37-0.33vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.68-0.93vs Predicted
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9Amherst College-3.05-0.22vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-3.65-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27University of Vermont0.580.2%1st Place
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4.01Dartmouth College0.170.1%1st Place
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2.6University of Vermont1.080.3%1st Place
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3.52Middlebury College0.430.2%1st Place
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4.43Amherst College-0.090.1%1st Place
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5.32Williams College-0.600.1%1st Place
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6.67Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
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7.07Middlebury College-1.680.0%1st Place
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8.78Amherst College-3.050.0%1st Place
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9.32Middlebury College-3.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Amelotte | 20.5% | 20.1% | 18.0% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rob Mailley | 12.0% | 13.4% | 17.0% | 16.0% | 17.2% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Potter | 30.4% | 24.4% | 19.2% | 13.0% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter Chiles | 15.5% | 19.0% | 17.2% | 19.0% | 13.5% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nat Edmonds | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 16.5% | 17.8% | 16.9% | 10.8% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 21.0% | 18.5% | 11.7% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| William Procter | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 26.4% | 25.6% | 11.1% | 1.8% |
| Dalyan Yet | 1.8% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 16.8% | 33.9% | 17.2% | 3.6% |
| Colin Sueyoshi | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 12.6% | 42.3% | 32.7% |
| Aric Duncan | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 25.1% | 61.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.