Race 4A

little-three

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Zachary Amelotte 17.0% 18.2% 17.2% 16.6% 15.7% 8.4% 4.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Felix Nusbaum 5.6% 5.9% 8.7% 9.5% 11.9% 15.5% 17.0% 15.2% 8.2% 1.8% 0.7%
Katherine Weaver 4.1% 3.6% 6.1% 6.2% 8.1% 13.2% 15.8% 19.0% 16.4% 6.5% 1.0%
Rob Mailley 10.7% 12.4% 13.7% 17.1% 14.8% 13.7% 10.6% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Ryan Potter 31.1% 23.6% 16.9% 12.4% 8.1% 4.7% 2.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nat Edmonds 8.6% 11.3% 11.1% 15.4% 15.1% 12.9% 11.4% 9.4% 4.0% 0.8% 0.0%
William Procter 3.2% 4.5% 3.5% 4.3% 7.0% 11.2% 13.7% 20.2% 21.0% 10.1% 1.3%
Walter Chiles 16.6% 17.6% 19.0% 14.2% 12.0% 10.9% 6.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Dalyan Yet 2.3% 2.1% 3.1% 3.5% 4.9% 6.1% 11.4% 17.3% 29.2% 15.1% 5.0%
Aric Duncan 0.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.2% 2.6% 3.1% 6.0% 24.5% 60.4%
Colin Sueyoshi 0.5% 0.4% 0.7% 0.3% 1.4% 2.2% 4.7% 5.7% 12.0% 40.6% 31.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.