Race 1B

little-three

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Will Eggena 15.6% 18.4% 18.8% 17.5% 14.5% 8.2% 4.4% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Maddy Saffer 42.6% 25.8% 19.4% 7.8% 3.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grace Augspurger 7.5% 10.4% 13.4% 18.0% 18.2% 16.3% 9.8% 3.9% 2.3% 0.2%
Rem Johannknecht 3.1% 5.2% 8.1% 11.4% 16.1% 17.1% 17.0% 11.7% 6.9% 3.4%
Adrian Whitney 3.2% 4.6% 4.6% 8.5% 10.9% 12.8% 17.9% 17.5% 12.3% 7.7%
Clare Rados 2.3% 2.8% 3.7% 6.3% 8.0% 10.8% 15.0% 17.3% 18.9% 14.9%
Ella Towner 21.4% 27.6% 21.8% 16.6% 8.2% 2.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Aidan Ulian 1.3% 2.1% 4.2% 5.7% 7.8% 11.0% 14.6% 18.1% 19.1% 16.1%
Nick Brodie 2.3% 2.0% 3.8% 5.5% 8.2% 13.4% 12.5% 16.4% 21.1% 14.8%
Rufus Fender-Reid 0.7% 1.1% 2.2% 2.7% 4.9% 6.6% 7.6% 12.5% 18.9% 42.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.