Race 2B

little-three

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Will Eggena 15.0% 18.4% 19.7% 18.0% 13.0% 8.9% 4.4% 2.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Maddy Saffer 40.9% 28.3% 18.8% 7.8% 2.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grace Augspurger 8.3% 10.0% 13.9% 17.3% 18.0% 17.2% 9.0% 4.3% 1.9% 0.1%
Ella Towner 22.0% 26.7% 22.9% 16.1% 7.8% 2.9% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Adrian Whitney 3.4% 3.8% 5.3% 8.0% 12.8% 11.4% 17.3% 17.8% 12.5% 7.7%
Rem Johannknecht 4.9% 5.0% 7.7% 11.3% 16.1% 16.5% 15.0% 11.5% 8.5% 3.5%
Nick Brodie 1.6% 2.0% 3.0% 6.0% 8.8% 11.5% 17.2% 17.5% 17.8% 14.6%
Aidan Ulian 1.3% 2.6% 3.4% 6.1% 7.6% 12.2% 13.1% 15.9% 22.5% 15.3%
Clare Rados 1.8% 1.9% 3.6% 6.3% 7.8% 12.7% 12.7% 18.5% 18.8% 15.9%
Rufus Fender-Reid 0.8% 1.3% 1.7% 3.1% 5.2% 5.9% 9.3% 12.2% 17.7% 42.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.