Race 3B

little-three

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Will Eggena 15.7% 17.7% 19.7% 17.8% 13.1% 9.5% 4.4% 1.3% 0.7% 0.1%
Maddy Saffer 42.8% 27.7% 16.5% 8.8% 3.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ella Towner 22.2% 25.4% 21.2% 16.3% 10.0% 3.5% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Grace Augspurger 6.5% 11.4% 13.9% 19.8% 18.2% 15.2% 8.3% 4.4% 1.9% 0.4%
Adrian Whitney 3.4% 3.7% 6.7% 7.8% 11.2% 12.4% 17.3% 17.9% 11.3% 8.3%
Clare Rados 2.2% 3.1% 4.0% 5.1% 8.1% 10.9% 15.7% 15.8% 20.2% 14.9%
Aidan Ulian 1.5% 1.6% 3.1% 5.5% 7.1% 13.0% 13.5% 17.9% 19.7% 17.1%
Nick Brodie 1.5% 2.2% 4.9% 5.6% 8.7% 12.5% 15.0% 15.2% 19.3% 15.1%
Rufus Fender-Reid 0.8% 1.0% 1.9% 3.0% 4.6% 5.0% 10.4% 13.8% 18.5% 41.0%
Rem Johannknecht 3.4% 6.2% 8.1% 10.3% 16.0% 16.9% 14.6% 13.0% 8.4% 3.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.