Race 4B

little-three

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Will Eggena 12.0% 16.0% 20.0% 18.1% 15.1% 9.7% 5.6% 2.2% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Maddy Saffer 42.4% 25.6% 16.6% 9.4% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ella Towner 21.1% 23.8% 20.4% 15.6% 9.3% 6.2% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Adrian Whitney 1.8% 4.1% 4.0% 5.7% 8.3% 10.7% 12.4% 16.6% 15.8% 12.8% 7.8%
Grace Augspurger 8.0% 11.0% 13.5% 13.1% 16.8% 14.3% 10.0% 8.0% 3.3% 1.6% 0.4%
Aidan Ulian 1.6% 2.0% 3.0% 4.7% 5.4% 6.8% 11.6% 13.2% 15.8% 18.3% 17.6%
Brendan Chinn 4.6% 5.2% 6.4% 9.5% 13.9% 13.7% 14.4% 12.9% 9.8% 5.5% 4.1%
Rufus Fender-Reid 1.3% 1.4% 1.4% 2.2% 3.5% 4.7% 6.3% 10.7% 14.0% 16.2% 38.3%
Nick Brodie 1.6% 2.7% 2.9% 5.9% 3.5% 10.1% 11.7% 11.8% 14.5% 20.3% 15.0%
Clare Rados 2.0% 2.6% 3.3% 5.1% 7.1% 9.1% 10.6% 12.6% 14.6% 18.4% 14.6%
Rem Johannknecht 3.6% 5.6% 8.5% 10.7% 13.4% 13.0% 13.9% 11.4% 10.9% 6.8% 2.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.