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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Marlena Fauer 20.7% 17.2% 15.6% 14.8% 8.5% 9.2% 5.1% 3.1% 3.1% 2.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Kimberly Kaull 8.4% 10.4% 10.3% 10.4% 10.2% 10.1% 8.1% 10.9% 9.1% 6.4% 4.7% 1.0%
Sky Adams 9.7% 8.3% 8.6% 7.2% 10.1% 9.7% 11.7% 10.3% 8.7% 9.1% 5.1% 1.5%
Rachel Perry 3.4% 3.6% 4.7% 6.5% 6.3% 6.4% 7.0% 10.2% 10.0% 13.0% 18.4% 10.5%
Carolyn Naughton 9.7% 10.6% 10.1% 10.3% 9.9% 9.7% 9.3% 8.3% 9.3% 6.6% 4.6% 1.6%
Devon Rohde 5.4% 6.0% 6.8% 5.7% 6.2% 7.7% 10.0% 9.4% 11.7% 11.5% 13.5% 6.1%
Caitlin Watson 6.7% 7.3% 7.0% 7.9% 10.3% 7.8% 7.9% 9.7% 10.1% 11.7% 9.3% 4.3%
Kelsey Wheeler 14.5% 12.5% 11.3% 9.5% 10.8% 10.7% 9.2% 7.5% 6.5% 3.9% 2.7% 0.9%
Chloe Lepert 7.3% 9.6% 10.5% 11.0% 10.5% 9.0% 10.4% 8.8% 9.7% 6.3% 5.8% 1.1%
Elizabeth Glivinski 8.5% 8.2% 9.0% 8.2% 8.7% 9.6% 10.8% 10.2% 8.3% 9.3% 7.0% 2.2%
Kate Levinson 4.7% 4.8% 5.1% 6.3% 7.1% 8.0% 8.2% 10.1% 9.9% 13.2% 14.6% 8.0%
Paige Fagan 1.0% 1.5% 1.0% 2.2% 1.4% 2.1% 2.3% 1.5% 3.6% 6.8% 13.8% 62.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.