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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.74+2.75vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.93+3.67vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.82+2.97vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.09+4.00vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.97+0.61vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+1.25vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.53-0.33vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.18-3.08vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-3.21vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.74-3.86vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.30-3.46vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.76-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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5.67University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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5.97Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.0Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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5.61Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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6.67Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
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4.92Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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5.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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6.14Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.54Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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10.69University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlena Fauer | 20.7% | 17.2% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Sky Adams | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Rachel Perry | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 18.4% | 10.5% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Devon Rohde | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 6.1% |
| Caitlin Watson | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 4.3% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 14.5% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Chloe Lepert | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 1.1% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 2.2% |
| Kate Levinson | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 8.0% |
| Paige Fagan | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 13.8% | 62.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.