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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Saint Thomas0.60+4.16vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.32+1.31vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.43+2.68vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.27+3.77vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.72-0.02vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.31+0.10vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.13+0.04vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-0.46+0.24vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.08-2.30vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.09-2.72vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-2.09+1.27vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-1.72-0.44vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-0.48-4.76vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.16University of Saint Thomas0.600.1%1st Place
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3.31University of Washington1.320.2%1st Place
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5.68University of Washington0.430.1%1st Place
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7.77Northwestern University-0.270.0%1st Place
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4.98University of Washington0.720.1%1st Place
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6.1University of California at Santa Cruz0.310.1%1st Place
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7.04Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
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8.24University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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6.7Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
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7.28University of Washington-0.090.1%1st Place
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12.27University of Oregon-2.090.0%1st Place
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11.56Western Washington University-1.720.0%1st Place
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8.24University of Washington-0.480.0%1st Place
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10.68University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bartel | 11.7% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Stone | 24.9% | 20.9% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| George Warfel | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Oliver Nairn | 11.0% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Carter Anderson | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Emily Avey | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 6.9% | 3.4% |
| Nathan Gerber | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Emily Smith | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Molly McLeod | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 21.2% | 46.3% |
| Peter Hall | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 26.4% | 27.4% |
| Jaden Unruh | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 2.3% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 20.3% | 21.2% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.