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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.72+3.82vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.43+3.46vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.32+0.37vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.27+3.80vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.31+1.13vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.08+0.77vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.09-0.04vs Predicted
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8University of Saint Thomas0.60-2.78vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-0.46-0.60vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.13-2.60vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-0.13vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon-2.09+0.20vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-1.72-1.55vs Predicted
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14University of Washington-0.48-5.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.82University of Washington0.720.1%1st Place
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5.46University of Washington0.430.1%1st Place
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3.37University of Washington1.320.3%1st Place
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7.8Northwestern University-0.270.0%1st Place
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6.13University of California at Santa Cruz0.310.1%1st Place
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6.77Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
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6.96University of Washington-0.090.1%1st Place
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5.22University of Saint Thomas0.600.1%1st Place
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8.4University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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7.4Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
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10.87University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
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12.2University of Oregon-2.090.0%1st Place
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11.45Western Washington University-1.720.0%1st Place
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8.17University of Washington-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Nairn | 12.7% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 9.8% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Stone | 25.6% | 19.8% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Warfel | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| Carter Anderson | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Gerber | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Emily Smith | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Rachel Bartel | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Emily Avey | 4.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 2.9% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 17.5% | 22.6% | 18.1% |
| Molly McLeod | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 21.6% | 44.4% |
| Peter Hall | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 14.5% | 24.0% | 28.3% |
| Jaden Unruh | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 5.8% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.