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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-0.48+6.90vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.08+4.16vs Predicted
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3University of Saint Thomas0.60+1.88vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.32-0.76vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.13+2.11vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.31-0.22vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-1.04+2.36vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-0.46-0.05vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-0.27-1.59vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.72-5.41vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-1.72+0.35vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-1.46vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-0.09-6.23vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon-2.09-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.9University of Washington-0.480.0%1st Place
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6.16Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
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4.88University of Saint Thomas0.600.1%1st Place
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3.24University of Washington1.320.3%1st Place
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7.11Western Washington University-0.130.0%1st Place
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5.78University of California at Santa Cruz0.310.1%1st Place
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9.36University of Washington-1.040.0%1st Place
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7.95University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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7.41Northwestern University-0.270.1%1st Place
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4.59University of Washington0.720.1%1st Place
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11.35Western Washington University-1.720.0%1st Place
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10.54University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
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6.77University of Washington-0.090.1%1st Place
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11.95University of Oregon-2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Unruh | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
| Nathan Gerber | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Rachel Bartel | 12.6% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Stone | 25.4% | 20.3% | 16.8% | 13.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Carter Anderson | 10.1% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Enzo Dougherty | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 15.9% | 12.2% | 7.8% |
| Emily Avey | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 1.9% |
| George Warfel | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Oliver Nairn | 12.9% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hall | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 13.8% | 22.5% | 27.3% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 17.5% | 19.5% | 15.3% |
| Emily Smith | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Molly McLeod | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 19.1% | 40.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.