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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University-0.13+5.90vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.72+2.45vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.08+3.34vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-0.46+3.93vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.32-1.74vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.31-0.20vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-1.04+2.34vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.27-0.64vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.48-0.96vs Predicted
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10University of Saint Thomas0.60-5.05vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-0.09-4.08vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon-2.09+0.10vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-1.72-1.79vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.9Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
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4.45University of Washington0.720.2%1st Place
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6.34Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
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7.93University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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3.26University of Washington1.320.2%1st Place
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5.8University of California at Santa Cruz0.310.1%1st Place
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9.34University of Washington-1.040.0%1st Place
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7.36Northwestern University-0.270.1%1st Place
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8.04University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
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4.95University of Saint Thomas0.600.1%1st Place
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6.92University of Washington-0.090.1%1st Place
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12.1University of Oregon-2.090.0%1st Place
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11.21Western Washington University-1.720.0%1st Place
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10.4University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Blakemore | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Oliver Nairn | 15.7% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gerber | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Emily Avey | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Benjamin Stone | 23.2% | 23.5% | 16.7% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Enzo Dougherty | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 7.2% |
| George Warfel | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Jaden Unruh | 5.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 2.0% |
| Rachel Bartel | 11.3% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Smith | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Molly McLeod | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 18.5% | 44.6% |
| Peter Hall | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 20.4% | 27.1% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 17.7% | 20.2% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.