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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University-0.13+6.21vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.32+1.35vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.72+1.87vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.08+2.74vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.43+0.78vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.31+0.10vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-0.46+1.04vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.48+0.30vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-2.09+3.22vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.09-2.70vs Predicted
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11University of Saint Thomas0.60-5.71vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-1.72-0.48vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-2.30vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University-0.27-6.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.21Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
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3.35University of Washington1.320.3%1st Place
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4.87University of Washington0.720.1%1st Place
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6.74Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
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5.78University of Washington0.430.1%1st Place
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6.1University of California at Santa Cruz0.310.1%1st Place
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8.04University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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8.3University of Washington-0.480.0%1st Place
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12.22University of Oregon-2.090.0%1st Place
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7.3University of Washington-0.090.1%1st Place
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5.29University of Saint Thomas0.600.1%1st Place
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11.52Western Washington University-1.720.0%1st Place
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10.7University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
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7.59Northwestern University-0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Blakemore | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Benjamin Stone | 25.2% | 21.5% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Nairn | 13.0% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Gerber | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Maxwell Miller | 7.9% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Carter Anderson | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Emily Avey | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 1.8% |
| Jaden Unruh | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 3.2% |
| Molly McLeod | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 11.2% | 22.4% | 44.9% |
| Emily Smith | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 0.6% |
| Rachel Bartel | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Peter Hall | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 15.3% | 23.0% | 28.6% |
| Conrad Kistler | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 16.2% | 22.5% | 16.3% |
| George Warfel | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.