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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University-0.13+6.27vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.08+4.52vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.43+2.66vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.72+0.88vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.32-1.55vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.31+0.12vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.48+1.12vs Predicted
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8University of Saint Thomas0.60-2.81vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.09-1.68vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-1.72+1.57vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-0.46-2.61vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-1.20vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-2.09-0.86vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University-0.27-6.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.27Western Washington University-0.130.0%1st Place
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6.52Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
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5.66University of Washington0.430.1%1st Place
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4.88University of Washington0.720.1%1st Place
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3.45University of Washington1.320.2%1st Place
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6.12University of California at Santa Cruz0.310.1%1st Place
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8.12University of Washington-0.480.0%1st Place
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5.19University of Saint Thomas0.600.1%1st Place
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7.32University of Washington-0.090.1%1st Place
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11.57Western Washington University-1.720.0%1st Place
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8.39University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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10.8University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
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12.14University of Oregon-2.090.0%1st Place
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7.58Northwestern University-0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Blakemore | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| Nathan Gerber | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Maxwell Miller | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Oliver Nairn | 11.7% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 23.6% | 20.7% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 9.1% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Jaden Unruh | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 1.5% |
| Rachel Bartel | 12.8% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Smith | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Peter Hall | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 14.8% | 24.8% | 28.3% |
| Emily Avey | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 2.9% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 18.2% | 19.2% | 18.8% |
| Molly McLeod | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 22.0% | 43.8% |
| George Warfel | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.