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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University-1.72+10.18vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.09+4.65vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon-2.09+8.87vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.32-0.78vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.08+1.46vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.13+1.09vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-0.46+0.70vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.48-0.09vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.31-3.20vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-1.04-0.27vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.72-6.29vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-1.44vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University-0.27-5.64vs Predicted
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14University of Saint Thomas0.60-9.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.18Western Washington University-1.720.0%1st Place
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6.65University of Washington-0.090.1%1st Place
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11.87University of Oregon-2.090.0%1st Place
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3.22University of Washington1.320.3%1st Place
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6.46Western Washington University0.080.1%1st Place
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7.09Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
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7.7University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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7.91University of Washington-0.480.0%1st Place
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5.8University of California at Santa Cruz0.310.1%1st Place
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9.73University of Washington-1.040.0%1st Place
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4.71University of Washington0.720.1%1st Place
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10.56University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
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7.36Northwestern University-0.270.1%1st Place
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4.77University of Saint Thomas0.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Hall | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 17.7% | 21.1% | 24.5% |
| Emily Smith | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Molly McLeod | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 10.4% | 18.8% | 43.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 25.1% | 21.1% | 16.8% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gerber | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Emily Avey | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 1.7% |
| Jaden Unruh | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 2.1% |
| Carter Anderson | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Enzo Dougherty | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 15.5% | 14.9% | 9.2% |
| Oliver Nairn | 13.2% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 20.5% | 15.4% |
| George Warfel | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Rachel Bartel | 13.8% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.