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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.82+5.06vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.74+1.70vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.74+3.18vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.18+1.02vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+2.20vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.09+2.00vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.97-1.56vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.30-0.69vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.53-2.38vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.93-4.38vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-4.86vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.76-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.06Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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3.7Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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6.18Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.02Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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8.0Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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5.44Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.31Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.62Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
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5.62University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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6.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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10.71University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Adams | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Marlena Fauer | 20.3% | 18.4% | 16.1% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 1.3% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 10.5% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 5.9% |
| Rachel Perry | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 19.3% | 10.6% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 11.0% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Kate Levinson | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 6.8% |
| Caitlin Watson | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 2.8% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Chloe Lepert | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
| Paige Fagan | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 13.6% | 63.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.