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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.62+2.31vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.66+0.17vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.41+1.74vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-1.01+2.33vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.94+1.07vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.80-0.32vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33-2.59vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-1.01-1.73vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-1.21-2.02vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-1.04-3.61vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon-1.38-3.83vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-1.74-3.64vs Predicted
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14University of Saint Thomas-3.30-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31University of Washington0.620.2%1st Place
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3.17University of Washington0.660.2%1st Place
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5.74University of Washington-0.410.1%1st Place
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7.33University of Oregon-1.010.0%1st Place
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7.07University of Washington-0.940.1%1st Place
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6.68Northwestern University-0.800.1%1st Place
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5.41University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.1%1st Place
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7.27Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
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7.98Western Washington University-1.210.0%1st Place
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7.39University of Washington-1.040.0%1st Place
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8.17University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
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9.36University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
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12.12University of Saint Thomas-3.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Pamplin | 23.6% | 20.1% | 17.4% | 13.7% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 24.9% | 21.7% | 17.5% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sammy Farkas | 6.7% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Rowan Clinch | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 2.1% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 1.4% |
| Anna Kovacs | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 0.6% |
| Hunter Holguin | 9.6% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Anna Morrow | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 1.3% |
| Allison Sasaki | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 3.7% |
| Kieran Lyons | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 3.4% |
| Sadie Creemer | 3.2% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 5.3% |
| Liam Williams | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 15.5% | 24.6% | 9.7% |
| Nisha Kimber | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 11.1% | 72.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.