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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.62+2.26vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.41+3.72vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-1.04+4.50vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33+0.50vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.66-2.83vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-1.38+1.27vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.94-0.97vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-1.01-1.73vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-0.80-3.16vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-1.21-3.13vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-1.01-4.91vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-1.74-3.65vs Predicted
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14University of Saint Thomas-3.30-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26University of Washington0.620.2%1st Place
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5.72University of Washington-0.410.1%1st Place
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7.5University of Washington-1.040.0%1st Place
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5.5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.1%1st Place
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3.17University of Washington0.660.2%1st Place
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8.27University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
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7.03University of Washington-0.940.1%1st Place
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7.27University of Oregon-1.010.0%1st Place
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6.84Northwestern University-0.800.1%1st Place
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7.87Western Washington University-1.210.0%1st Place
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7.09Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
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9.35University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
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12.13University of Saint Thomas-3.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Pamplin | 23.7% | 21.0% | 17.8% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sammy Farkas | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Kieran Lyons | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 1.9% |
| Hunter Holguin | 9.3% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 25.0% | 22.8% | 16.0% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Creemer | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 4.0% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 2.0% |
| Rowan Clinch | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 1.4% |
| Anna Kovacs | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 1.2% |
| Allison Sasaki | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 3.9% |
| Anna Morrow | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 1.4% |
| Liam Williams | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 24.6% | 10.1% |
| Nisha Kimber | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 11.0% | 73.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.