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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-0.80+5.76vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.66+1.17vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-1.38+4.43vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.62-1.72vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.41-0.37vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.94+0.09vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33-2.58vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-1.04-1.63vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-1.74-0.71vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-1.01-3.71vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon-1.01-4.90vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-1.21-4.95vs Predicted
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14University of Saint Thomas-3.30-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.76Northwestern University-0.800.1%1st Place
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3.17University of Washington0.660.2%1st Place
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8.43University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
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3.28University of Washington0.620.2%1st Place
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5.63University of Washington-0.410.1%1st Place
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7.09University of Washington-0.940.1%1st Place
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5.42University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.1%1st Place
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7.37University of Washington-1.040.0%1st Place
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9.29University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
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7.29Western Washington University-1.010.1%1st Place
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7.1University of Oregon-1.010.0%1st Place
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8.05Western Washington University-1.210.0%1st Place
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12.12University of Saint Thomas-3.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Kovacs | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 1.0% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 23.8% | 21.7% | 20.2% | 12.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Creemer | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 4.6% |
| Erin Pamplin | 23.4% | 20.9% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sammy Farkas | 9.0% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 1.4% |
| Hunter Holguin | 11.2% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Kieran Lyons | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 1.4% |
| Liam Williams | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 24.7% | 9.1% |
| Anna Morrow | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 3.2% |
| Rowan Clinch | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 1.8% |
| Allison Sasaki | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 3.3% |
| Nisha Kimber | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 5.4% | 10.1% | 73.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.