← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington0.62+2.31vs Predicted
-
3University of Washington0.66+0.20vs Predicted
-
4Northwestern University-0.80+2.79vs Predicted
-
5University of Oregon-1.01+2.33vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33-0.62vs Predicted
-
7Western Washington University-1.01+0.27vs Predicted
-
8University of Washington-0.41-2.35vs Predicted
-
9University of Washington-0.94-1.94vs Predicted
-
10University of Oregon-1.38-1.58vs Predicted
-
11University of Washington-1.04-3.60vs Predicted
-
12Western Washington University-1.21-4.32vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Los Angeles-1.74-3.62vs Predicted
-
14University of Saint Thomas-3.30-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.31University of Washington0.620.2%1st Place
-
3.2University of Washington0.660.2%1st Place
-
6.79Northwestern University-0.800.0%1st Place
-
7.33University of Oregon-1.010.0%1st Place
-
5.38University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.1%1st Place
-
7.27Western Washington University-1.010.1%1st Place
-
5.65University of Washington-0.410.1%1st Place
-
7.06University of Washington-0.940.1%1st Place
-
8.42University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
-
7.4University of Washington-1.040.1%1st Place
-
7.68Western Washington University-1.210.0%1st Place
-
9.38University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
-
12.13University of Saint Thomas-3.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Pamplin | 23.4% | 20.2% | 17.4% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 24.5% | 21.5% | 17.9% | 12.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Kovacs | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Rowan Clinch | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 2.3% |
| Hunter Holguin | 9.2% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Anna Morrow | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 1.6% |
| Sammy Farkas | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 1.2% |
| Sadie Creemer | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 5.1% |
| Kieran Lyons | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| Allison Sasaki | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 2.8% |
| Liam Williams | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 15.6% | 23.8% | 10.0% |
| Nisha Kimber | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 12.3% | 71.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.