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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.62+2.26vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.80+3.80vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.94+3.20vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-1.38+3.35vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-1.04+1.30vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.66-3.81vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-1.01-0.82vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.41-3.31vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-1.21-2.06vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-1.74-1.83vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33-6.72vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-1.01-5.51vs Predicted
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14University of Saint Thomas-3.30-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26University of Washington0.620.2%1st Place
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6.8Northwestern University-0.800.1%1st Place
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7.2University of Washington-0.940.0%1st Place
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8.35University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
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7.3University of Washington-1.040.1%1st Place
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3.19University of Washington0.660.3%1st Place
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7.18Western Washington University-1.010.1%1st Place
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5.69University of Washington-0.410.1%1st Place
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7.94Western Washington University-1.210.0%1st Place
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9.17University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
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5.28University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.1%1st Place
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7.49University of Oregon-1.010.0%1st Place
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12.13University of Saint Thomas-3.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Pamplin | 23.5% | 21.4% | 17.9% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Kovacs | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 1.0% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 1.1% |
| Sadie Creemer | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 4.5% |
| Kieran Lyons | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 2.1% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 25.1% | 21.4% | 17.0% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Morrow | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 6.1% | 2.1% |
| Sammy Farkas | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Allison Sasaki | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 3.9% |
| Liam Williams | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 22.2% | 10.4% |
| Hunter Holguin | 8.5% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Rowan Clinch | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 1.8% |
| Nisha Kimber | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 11.0% | 72.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.