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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Northwestern University-0.80+4.72vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.94+4.17vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-1.04+3.49vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-1.01+2.35vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-1.38+2.25vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.66-3.80vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.62-4.72vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.41-3.35vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-1.74-0.71vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-1.01-3.72vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-1.21-4.31vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33-7.50vs Predicted
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14University of Saint Thomas-3.30-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.72Northwestern University-0.800.1%1st Place
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7.17University of Washington-0.940.1%1st Place
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7.49University of Washington-1.040.0%1st Place
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7.35Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
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8.25University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
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3.2University of Washington0.660.3%1st Place
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3.28University of Washington0.620.2%1st Place
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5.65University of Washington-0.410.1%1st Place
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9.29University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
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7.28University of Oregon-1.010.0%1st Place
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7.69Western Washington University-1.210.0%1st Place
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5.5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.1%1st Place
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12.13University of Saint Thomas-3.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Kovacs | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 0.8% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 2.3% |
| Kieran Lyons | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 1.9% |
| Anna Morrow | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 2.1% |
| Sadie Creemer | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 5.0% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 25.1% | 22.1% | 16.9% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 24.5% | 20.9% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sammy Farkas | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Liam Williams | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 24.9% | 9.1% |
| Rowan Clinch | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 2.6% |
| Allison Sasaki | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 2.8% |
| Hunter Holguin | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Nisha Kimber | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 73.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.