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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.66+2.10vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-0.80+4.44vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.62+0.14vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-1.04+3.09vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.41+0.34vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-1.38+1.91vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33-1.87vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.94-1.26vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-1.01-2.94vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-2.72-0.17vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-1.21-4.67vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-1.74-3.99vs Predicted
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14University of Saint Thomas-3.30-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1University of Washington0.660.3%1st Place
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6.44Northwestern University-0.800.1%1st Place
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3.14University of Washington0.620.2%1st Place
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7.09University of Washington-1.040.0%1st Place
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5.34University of Washington-0.410.1%1st Place
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7.91University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
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5.13University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.1%1st Place
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6.74University of Washington-0.940.0%1st Place
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7.06Western Washington University-1.010.1%1st Place
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10.83University of Oregon-2.720.0%1st Place
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7.33Western Washington University-1.210.0%1st Place
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9.01University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
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11.87University of Saint Thomas-3.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucien Freemesser | 26.6% | 20.0% | 18.7% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Kovacs | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Erin Pamplin | 25.0% | 20.5% | 17.9% | 13.9% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Lyons | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Sammy Farkas | 9.6% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Creemer | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 1.8% |
| Hunter Holguin | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Anna Morrow | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 1.5% |
| Elliot Nopp | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 12.9% | 29.7% | 28.8% |
| Allison Sasaki | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| Liam Williams | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 18.5% | 18.0% | 5.7% |
| Nisha Kimber | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 19.7% | 58.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.