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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.62+2.16vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-1.01+4.01vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33+1.27vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.66-1.89vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-1.04+0.97vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.41-1.66vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.94-1.31vs Predicted
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9University of Saint Thomas-3.30+2.71vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-1.21-2.43vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-1.38-3.11vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-1.74-3.30vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University-0.80-6.43vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon-2.72-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16University of Washington0.620.2%1st Place
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7.01Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
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5.27University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.1%1st Place
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3.11University of Washington0.660.2%1st Place
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6.97University of Washington-1.040.1%1st Place
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5.34University of Washington-0.410.1%1st Place
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6.69University of Washington-0.940.1%1st Place
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11.71University of Saint Thomas-3.300.0%1st Place
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7.57Western Washington University-1.210.0%1st Place
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7.89University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
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8.7University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
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6.57Northwestern University-0.800.1%1st Place
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11.01University of Oregon-2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Pamplin | 23.7% | 22.4% | 18.9% | 12.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anna Morrow | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Hunter Holguin | 8.3% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 25.0% | 23.2% | 15.8% | 13.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kieran Lyons | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Sammy Farkas | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Nisha Kimber | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 20.8% | 56.6% |
| Allison Sasaki | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 7.1% | 1.6% |
| Sadie Creemer | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 3.2% |
| Liam Williams | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 17.9% | 12.6% | 5.9% |
| Anna Kovacs | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Elliot Nopp | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 34.3% | 28.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.