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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-0.41+4.39vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.66+1.01vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.62+0.07vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.80+2.39vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-1.04+1.92vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-1.21+0.39vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-1.01-1.21vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.74-0.29vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33-4.79vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-1.18-3.66vs Predicted
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12University of Saint Thomas-3.30-0.31vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-1.38-4.95vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon-2.72-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39University of Washington-0.410.1%1st Place
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3.01University of Washington0.660.3%1st Place
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3.07University of Washington0.620.3%1st Place
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6.39Northwestern University-0.800.0%1st Place
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6.92University of Washington-1.040.1%1st Place
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7.39Western Washington University-1.210.0%1st Place
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6.79Western Washington University-1.010.1%1st Place
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8.71University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
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5.21University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.1%1st Place
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7.34University of Washington-1.180.0%1st Place
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11.69University of Saint Thomas-3.300.0%1st Place
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8.05University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
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11.03University of Oregon-2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sammy Farkas | 9.0% | 7.4% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 25.7% | 24.3% | 17.4% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 25.1% | 22.4% | 17.4% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anna Kovacs | 4.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Kieran Lyons | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Allison Sasaki | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 6.0% | 1.4% |
| Anna Morrow | 6.3% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Liam Williams | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 17.7% | 14.6% | 4.9% |
| Hunter Holguin | 9.9% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jenna Hiegel | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 5.7% | 2.1% |
| Nisha Kimber | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 21.3% | 52.9% |
| Sadie Creemer | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 3.5% |
| Elliot Nopp | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 12.5% | 29.1% | 32.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.