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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-0.41+4.38vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.62+1.12vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-1.04+4.08vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.66-0.96vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33-0.88vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.80-0.68vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-1.01-1.19vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-1.18-1.70vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-1.38-2.04vs Predicted
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11University of Saint Thomas-3.30+0.70vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-1.21-4.72vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-2.72-2.07vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.74-5.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38University of Washington-0.410.1%1st Place
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3.12University of Washington0.620.2%1st Place
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7.08University of Washington-1.040.0%1st Place
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3.04University of Washington0.660.3%1st Place
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5.12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.1%1st Place
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6.32Northwestern University-0.800.1%1st Place
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6.81Western Washington University-1.010.1%1st Place
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7.3University of Washington-1.180.1%1st Place
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7.96University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
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11.7University of Saint Thomas-3.300.0%1st Place
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7.28Western Washington University-1.210.0%1st Place
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10.93University of Oregon-2.720.0%1st Place
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8.96University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sammy Farkas | 8.8% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Erin Pamplin | 24.4% | 22.8% | 17.7% | 13.4% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Lyons | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 0.6% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 26.0% | 22.3% | 16.8% | 13.9% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 10.6% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Anna Kovacs | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Anna Morrow | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Jenna Hiegel | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 1.6% |
| Sadie Creemer | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 8.3% | 2.7% |
| Nisha Kimber | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 7.8% | 20.7% | 55.4% |
| Allison Sasaki | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
| Elliot Nopp | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 12.1% | 31.6% | 29.7% |
| Liam Williams | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 18.7% | 14.4% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.