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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.93+4.79vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.82+3.94vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.09+4.93vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.18+1.09vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.74+1.21vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.74-2.31vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.53-0.30vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-2.11vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.97-3.59vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-2.83vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.76-0.28vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.30-4.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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5.94Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.93Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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5.09Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.21Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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3.69Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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6.7Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
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5.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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5.41Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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10.72University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
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7.45Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kimberly Kaull | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 1.3% |
| Sky Adams | 7.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 1.7% |
| Rachel Perry | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 16.5% | 18.2% | 9.3% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 11.1% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 1.9% |
| Marlena Fauer | 21.3% | 17.2% | 17.5% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 5.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 10.0% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Devon Rohde | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 6.5% |
| Paige Fagan | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 11.8% | 64.2% |
| Kate Levinson | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.