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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.62+2.16vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.41+3.46vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-1.04+4.13vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.66-0.91vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.94+0.68vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-1.21+0.47vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33-2.83vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-0.80-2.59vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-1.74-1.12vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-1.01-4.06vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon-1.38-4.21vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-2.72-2.03vs Predicted
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14University of Saint Thomas-3.30-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16University of Washington0.620.2%1st Place
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5.46University of Washington-0.410.1%1st Place
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7.13University of Washington-1.040.0%1st Place
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3.09University of Washington0.660.3%1st Place
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6.68University of Washington-0.940.1%1st Place
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7.47Western Washington University-1.210.0%1st Place
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5.17University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.1%1st Place
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6.41Northwestern University-0.800.1%1st Place
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8.88University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
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6.94Western Washington University-1.010.1%1st Place
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7.79University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
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10.97University of Oregon-2.720.0%1st Place
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11.84University of Saint Thomas-3.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Pamplin | 23.5% | 22.9% | 17.5% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sammy Farkas | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Kieran Lyons | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 25.5% | 20.7% | 18.5% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Allison Sasaki | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 7.4% | 1.3% |
| Hunter Holguin | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Anna Kovacs | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Liam Williams | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 18.7% | 16.3% | 5.0% |
| Anna Morrow | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Sadie Creemer | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 2.7% |
| Elliot Nopp | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 13.7% | 30.9% | 29.8% |
| Nisha Kimber | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 20.3% | 57.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.