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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.51+2.99vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.39+2.08vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.05+1.90vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.18+0.54vs Predicted
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5Harvard University-0.20+1.57vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.37-3.43vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.11-0.92vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.95-4.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99Tufts University1.5113.5%1st Place
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4.08Northeastern University1.3911.6%1st Place
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4.9University of Vermont1.057.8%1st Place
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4.54Roger Williams University1.189.1%1st Place
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6.57Harvard University-0.202.2%1st Place
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2.57Brown University2.3732.3%1st Place
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6.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.114.3%1st Place
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3.29Boston College1.9519.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Clark Morris | 13.5% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 9.2% | 2.8% |
Everett Nash | 11.6% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 17.9% | 13.3% | 8.9% | 3.4% |
Calvin Lamosse | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 18.8% | 17.1% | 9.2% |
Jack Crager | 9.1% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 17.6% | 13.7% | 6.2% |
Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 19.8% | 46.0% |
Blake Behrens | 32.3% | 24.4% | 18.6% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
Charlie Lawrence | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 13.0% | 26.2% | 30.9% |
Ian Hopkins Guerra | 19.1% | 19.4% | 19.0% | 16.7% | 13.1% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.