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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.74+5.32vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.93+3.70vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+3.03vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.53+2.79vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.74-1.30vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.18-1.02vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.97-1.48vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.09-0.18vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.82-3.24vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-2.89vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.30-3.42vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.76-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.7University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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6.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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6.79Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
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3.7Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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4.98Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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5.52Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.82Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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5.76Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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7.58Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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10.69University of New Hampshire0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 2.9% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Chloe Lepert | 9.4% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 1.6% |
| Caitlin Watson | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 4.5% |
| Marlena Fauer | 21.9% | 20.4% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 12.1% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| Rachel Perry | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 17.5% | 10.3% |
| Sky Adams | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Devon Rohde | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 5.5% |
| Kate Levinson | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 16.6% | 7.1% |
| Paige Fagan | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 13.6% | 63.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.