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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.25+1.79vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08+2.77vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.62+0.86vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.16+0.68vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.64-1.15vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.39-1.74vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.58-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79Boston University1.250.3%1st Place
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4.77University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.1%1st Place
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3.86Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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4.68Boston University0.160.1%1st Place
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3.85Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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4.26Northeastern University0.390.1%1st Place
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3.78Brown University0.580.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Mendenhall | 30.6% | 19.9% | 19.2% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
| William Delong | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 18.2% | 26.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 13.0% | 16.5% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 10.0% |
| Richard Kalich | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 19.8% | 23.9% |
| Keller Morrison | 13.1% | 16.2% | 16.3% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 10.7% |
| Samuel Rooks | 11.0% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 15.5% | 16.2% | 16.4% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 16.1% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.