← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University1.25+1.79vs Predicted
-
2Salve Regina University0.62+1.82vs Predicted
-
3University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08+1.79vs Predicted
-
4Brown University0.58-0.04vs Predicted
-
5Boston University0.16-0.33vs Predicted
-
6Brown University0.64-2.18vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University0.39-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.79Boston University1.250.3%1st Place
-
3.82Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
-
4.79University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.1%1st Place
-
3.96Brown University0.580.1%1st Place
-
4.67Boston University0.160.1%1st Place
-
3.82Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
-
4.13Northeastern University0.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Mendenhall | 30.0% | 22.1% | 17.5% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
| Emil Tullberg | 13.0% | 17.0% | 16.1% | 16.7% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 10.2% |
| William Delong | 7.8% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 16.1% | 15.5% | 28.2% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 13.4% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 17.1% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 11.5% |
| Richard Kalich | 7.7% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 17.6% | 24.4% |
| Keller Morrison | 14.9% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 16.2% | 12.6% | 16.0% | 9.5% |
| Samuel Rooks | 13.2% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 16.8% | 17.1% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.