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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.62+2.79vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.16+2.63vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.25-0.20vs Predicted
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4Brown University0.64-0.11vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.39-0.66vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08-1.21vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.58-3.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79Salve Regina University0.620.2%1st Place
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4.63Boston University0.160.1%1st Place
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2.8Boston University1.250.3%1st Place
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3.89Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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4.34Northeastern University0.390.1%1st Place
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4.79University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.1%1st Place
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3.76Brown University0.580.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 15.7% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 10.8% |
| Richard Kalich | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 18.6% | 21.8% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 26.6% | 24.6% | 18.5% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 2.3% |
| Keller Morrison | 14.5% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 13.7% | 10.9% |
| Samuel Rooks | 9.6% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 16.6% | 18.0% |
| William Delong | 7.9% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 18.0% | 27.4% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 17.5% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.