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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.62+2.82vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08+2.76vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.25-0.16vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.39+0.32vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.64-1.17vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.58-2.08vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.16-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82Salve Regina University0.620.2%1st Place
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4.76University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.1%1st Place
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2.84Boston University1.250.3%1st Place
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4.32Northeastern University0.390.1%1st Place
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3.83Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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3.92Brown University0.580.1%1st Place
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4.52Boston University0.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 16.3% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 10.4% |
| William Delong | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 17.7% | 26.1% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 27.1% | 22.5% | 18.8% | 13.8% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% |
| Samuel Rooks | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 16.3% | 16.3% | 16.2% | 17.0% |
| Keller Morrison | 13.5% | 16.8% | 17.2% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 10.2% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 13.7% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 16.6% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 11.8% |
| Richard Kalich | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 19.3% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.