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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.79+7.42vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.84+6.56vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.07+9.31vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.18+7.48vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.73+4.33vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.42-1.93vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.36+3.05vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.17-0.73vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.31+1.04vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.85-0.17vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.45-0.76vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.01-0.15vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.26-2.64vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-5.19vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University1.80-7.08vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida0.99-3.70vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania1.16-4.47vs Predicted
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18Stanford University2.19-12.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.42Cornell University1.796.0%1st Place
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8.56Bowdoin College1.845.7%1st Place
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12.31George Washington University1.072.3%1st Place
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11.48Northeastern University1.183.0%1st Place
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9.33Tulane University1.734.2%1st Place
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4.07Yale University2.4220.1%1st Place
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10.05Boston College1.363.6%1st Place
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7.27Harvard University2.178.3%1st Place
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10.04Roger Williams University1.314.2%1st Place
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9.83Brown University1.853.6%1st Place
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10.24Dartmouth College1.453.6%1st Place
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11.85Tufts University1.012.3%1st Place
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10.36College of Charleston1.262.9%1st Place
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8.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.9%1st Place
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7.92Georgetown University1.807.8%1st Place
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12.3University of South Florida0.992.1%1st Place
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12.53University of Pennsylvania1.161.8%1st Place
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5.64Stanford University2.1912.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Devling | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 15.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.7% |
| Ava Anderson | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 20.1% | 17.8% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Schumann | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Tavia Smith | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% |
| Laura Hamilton | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% |
| Olivia Drulard | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 12.5% |
| Emily Alfortish | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Emily Doble | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Kalea Woodard | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 16.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 15.2% |
| Sophie Fisher | 12.6% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.