Race 14B

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Marlena Fauer 20.6% 17.8% 16.7% 12.0% 9.3% 10.5% 3.8% 4.3% 3.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.2%
Carolyn Naughton 9.5% 9.9% 11.4% 10.5% 9.5% 9.2% 10.9% 9.0% 7.2% 8.4% 3.6% 0.9%
Kate Levinson 5.9% 4.9% 4.7% 6.4% 7.3% 7.6% 7.8% 9.0% 10.5% 14.6% 14.3% 7.0%
Kimberly Kaull 8.0% 10.7% 9.8% 9.6% 10.0% 10.6% 10.4% 9.4% 7.1% 7.1% 6.0% 1.3%
Chloe Lepert 8.9% 9.1% 8.4% 8.9% 10.8% 8.9% 9.2% 9.7% 9.9% 7.6% 6.0% 2.6%
Rachel Perry 4.2% 4.3% 4.8% 6.7% 4.5% 4.9% 7.5% 10.2% 11.5% 11.1% 19.3% 11.0%
Caitlin Watson 6.7% 7.4% 6.9% 8.3% 8.9% 8.6% 9.3% 10.2% 9.9% 9.8% 10.1% 3.9%
Kelsey Wheeler 14.8% 12.8% 10.9% 9.5% 9.7% 11.7% 9.2% 8.0% 4.9% 4.8% 2.8% 0.9%
Sky Adams 7.2% 9.5% 10.1% 11.9% 10.1% 8.6% 10.9% 8.6% 8.3% 8.3% 5.1% 1.4%
Paige Fagan 0.9% 1.1% 2.2% 1.8% 2.2% 1.5% 2.1% 2.9% 4.4% 6.7% 12.0% 62.2%
Elizabeth Glivinski 7.4% 7.2% 8.6% 7.9% 9.8% 9.4% 9.9% 8.4% 13.3% 8.3% 7.0% 2.8%
Devon Rohde 5.9% 5.3% 5.5% 6.5% 7.9% 8.5% 9.0% 10.3% 9.8% 11.9% 13.6% 5.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.