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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.37+1.61vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.39+2.13vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.95+0.24vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.51+0.05vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.18-0.53vs Predicted
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6Harvard University-0.20+0.54vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.05-2.09vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.11-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61Brown University2.3731.6%1st Place
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4.13Northeastern University1.3910.5%1st Place
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3.24Boston College1.9519.9%1st Place
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4.05Tufts University1.5112.5%1st Place
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4.47Roger Williams University1.1810.8%1st Place
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6.54Harvard University-0.202.6%1st Place
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4.91University of Vermont1.057.6%1st Place
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6.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.114.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Blake Behrens | 31.6% | 23.4% | 19.1% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
Everett Nash | 10.5% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 9.1% | 3.1% |
Ian Hopkins Guerra | 19.9% | 21.2% | 17.1% | 16.7% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
Clark Morris | 12.5% | 12.2% | 17.1% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 9.4% | 2.8% |
Jack Crager | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 17.2% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 5.7% |
Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 20.8% | 45.8% |
Calvin Lamosse | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 17.6% | 16.8% | 10.7% |
Charlie Lawrence | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 13.3% | 24.4% | 31.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.